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    宁夏11选5开奖 www.lebaimi.com.cn,其实,线上与线下并非“天敌”。Taiwan'smainoppositionDemocraticProgressiveParty,DPP,ChairpersonTsaiIng-wenspeaksduringapressconferenceinTaipei,Taiwan,Wednesday,April15,2015.[Photo/IC]AweekbeforeTaiwanleaderTsaiIng-wentravelstoLatinAmerica,ZhangZhijun,headofthemainland'sTaiwanAffairsOffice,saidinhisNewYear'smessagethattheChinesemainlandwillsharedevelopmentopportunitieswithTaiwanwhilefirmlyopposing"Taiwanindependence"activities.Tsai'sweeklongtriptoLatinAmericafromSaturdaywilltakehertoHonduras,Nicaragua,GuatemalaandElSalvador,withstopoversinHoustonandSanFranciscointheUnitedStates.Hervisitisaimedatstrengtheningtheisland's"diplomaticties"with21countries,mostlyinLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean,afterlosingtheAfricanislandnationofSaoTomeandPrincipe,whichresumeddiplomaticrelationswithBeijinglastmonth.ThemainlandhasexercisedutmostrestraintdespiteknowingtheTsaiadministrationwillignorethe1992Consensuswhileseekingtomaintainrelationswithits"diplomaticallies".Infact,themainlandhasgiventheislandenoughtimetofinishthe"incompletetest"andputcross-Straitsrelationsbackontherighttrack,withoutwoundingits"politicaldignity".However,judgingbywhatsheandherDemocraticProgressivePartyhavesaidanddoneoverthepastsevenmonths,Tsaihasfailedtoseethebigpicturethatissocleartothemainland.Onthecontrary,sheremainsnoncommittalontheone-Chinaprinciple,thepoliticalbedrockofcross-Straitsties,andispoisedtowadeintounchartedwaters.GimmickslikecallingUSpresident-electDonaldTrumptocongratulatehimonhisvictorywillnothelpTsaitoendtheisland's"diplomatic"predicament.Instead,theywilladdtotheriskofexacerbatingthealreadystrainedrelationshipbetweenthemainlandandTaiwan.Thankstothearrangementsbasedontheone-ChinaprincipleandUNResolution2758,whichrecognizesthePeople'sRepublicofChinaasthesolerepresentativeofthecountry,theislandcantakepartininternationaleventsthatsuititsstatus.Shoulditseektooversteptheboundaries,normalrelationswiththemainlandwouldbeapieinthesky.Inessence,Taiwan's"moneypolitics"cannotlastlong,especiallybecauseitseconomyhasbeenstrugglingtopickup.Urgedtotightentheisland's"diplomatic"budgettoimprovepeople'slivelihoods,Tsaihadpromisedtostopofferingone-sidedfinancialaidtotheisland'sso-calledoverseasalliesaftersheassumedofficeinMay.Butmoneymattersindiplomacy.Forexample,SaoTomeandPrincipesevereditstieswiththeisland,ostensiblybecauseofthelatter'sfailuretofulfillthedemandfor$210million"giftmoney"-$70millionasinstantdonationand$140millionaslow-interestloans.ThesamecouldhappenwithTaiwan'sremaining21"allies".EvenwhenthedisruptiveChenShui-bianwastheislandleaderbetween2000and2008,themoney-wieldingtrickdidnotstopsix"allies"frombreakingawayfromTaiwan.So,itisnotimpossiblefortheislandtoloseallitsother"friends".SidingwiththeUnitedStatesisequallyunlikelytohelptheisland,asWashingtoncannotaffordtoseveritsdiplomatictieswithBeijing.ItwouldbepoliticalimmaturityonthepartofTsaitomisinterpretorunderestimatethemainland'sdeterminedpursuitofpeacefulreunification.TheauthorisaprofessorattheInstituteofTaiwanStudies,BeijingUnionUniversity.Tsai'sweeklongtriptoLatinAmericafromSaturdaywilltakehertoHonduras,Nicaragua,GuatemalaandElSalvador,withstopoversinHoustonandSanFranciscointheUnitedStates.Hervisitisaimedatstrengtheningtheisland's"diplomaticties"with21countries,mostlyinLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean,afterlosingtheAfricanislandnationofSaoTomeandPrincipe,whichresumeddiplomaticrelationswithBeijinglastmonth.ThemainlandhasexercisedutmostrestraintdespiteknowingtheTsaiadministrationwillignorethe1992Consensuswhileseekingtomaintainrelationswithits"diplomaticallies".Infact,themainlandhasgiventheislandenoughtimetofinishthe"incompletetest"andputcross-Straitsrelationsbackontherighttrack,withoutwoundingits"politicaldignity".However,judgingbywhatsheandherDemocraticProgressivePartyhavesaidanddoneoverthepastsevenmonths,Tsaihasfailedtoseethebigpicturethatissocleartothemainland.Onthecontrary,sheremainsnoncommittalontheone-Chinaprinciple,thepoliticalbedrockofcross-Straitsties,andispoisedtowadeintounchartedwaters.GimmickslikecallingUSpresident-electDonaldTrumptocongratulatehimonhisvictorywillnothelpTsaitoendtheisland's"diplomatic"predicament.Instead,theywilladdtotheriskofexacerbatingthealreadystrainedrelationshipbetweenthemainlandandTaiwan.Thankstothearrangementsbasedontheone-ChinaprincipleandUNResolution2758,whichrecognizesthePeople'sRepublicofChinaasthesolerepresentativeofthecountry,theislandcantakepartininternationaleventsthatsuititsstatus.Shoulditseektooversteptheboundaries,normalrelationswiththemainlandwouldbeapieinthesky.Inessence,Taiwan's"moneypolitics"cannotlastlong,especiallybecauseitseconomyhasbeenstrugglingtopickup.Urgedtotightentheisland's"diplomatic"budgettoimprovepeople'slivelihoods,Tsaihadpromisedtostopofferingone-sidedfinancialaidtotheisland'sso-calledoverseasalliesaftersheassumedofficeinMay.Butmoneymattersindiplomacy.Forexample,SaoTomeandPrincipesevereditstieswiththeisland,ostensiblybecauseofthelatter'sfailuretofulfillthedemandfor$210million"giftmoney"-$70millionasinstantdonationand$140millionaslow-interestloans.ThesamecouldhappenwithTaiwan'sremaining21"allies".EvenwhenthedisruptiveChenShui-bianwastheislandleaderbetween2000and2008,themoney-wieldingtrickdidnotstopsix"allies"frombreakingawayfromTaiwan.So,itisnotimpossiblefortheislandtoloseallitsother"friends".SidingwiththeUnitedStatesisequallyunlikelytohelptheisland,asWashingtoncannotaffordtoseveritsdiplomatictieswithBeijing.ItwouldbepoliticalimmaturityonthepartofTsaitomisinterpretorunderestimatethemainland'sdeterminedpursuitofpeacefulreunification.TheauthorisaprofessorattheInstituteofTaiwanStudies,BeijingUnionUniversity.

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